18 Jul · 10:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
AL
🇵🇱Adam Linek
ELO 1466
3-1Final setsLinek won
MK
🇵🇱Maciej Kolek
ELO 1564
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Kolek at 63%. The actual result was Adam Linek 3-1 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Maciej Kolek favoured — closing 1.48
Total 78.5
71 points played
Set handicap
Maciej Kolek −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Maciej Kolek −4.5 points
Total sets 4.5
closing 1.54
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Adam Linek is favoured to win, below means Maciej Kolek.
▲ Adam Linekpre 33% → final 2%
Maciej Kolek ▼
Biggest swing 69 ptsKolek recovered from 29%72 points · 5 games