18 Jul · 12:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
FW
🇵🇱Filip Witczak
ELO 1572
FormWLLWL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Witczak
PG
🇵🇱Patryk Gamrot
ELO 1471
FormWLLWW
61%
39%
Fair odds · Witczak
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~81 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
1-3
15%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+101
H2H15-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+101)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-10)