18 Jul · 13:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DM
🇵🇱Daniel Morawiec
ELO 1490
FormLLWWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Oracz
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1564
FormWWLLW
42%
58%
🌟Oracz covers set handicap as favourite 66% (35)
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+74
H2H14-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+74)