18 Jul · 13:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MK
🇵🇱Maciej Kolek
ELO 1564
FormLWLWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Kolek
DS
🇵🇱Dominik Solilo
ELO 1481
FormWWLWL
59%
41%
🌟Kolek goes over total as favourite 75% (24)
Fair odds · Kolek
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 35% · 2.84· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+83
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)