18 Jul · 14:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RW
🇵🇱Rafal Wojcik
ELO 1400
FormLLWWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Morawiec
DM
🇵🇱Daniel Morawiec
ELO 1490
FormLLWWL
40%
60%
Fair odds · Morawiec
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 43%Total ~78 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+90
H2H26-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+90)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-15)