18 Jul · 14:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SW
🇵🇱Stanislaw Wnek
ELO 1393
FormWWWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Michalczyk
JM
🇵🇱Jakub Michalczyk
ELO 1448
FormWWLWW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Michalczyk
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 59% · 1.68· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+55
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+55)