18 Jul · 20:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AF
🇵🇱Andriej Fomin
ELO 1633
FormWWWLW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Fomin
JS
🇵🇱Janus Slawomir
ELO 1522
FormLLWLW
62%
38%
🌟Fomin goes over total as favourite 69% (39)
Fair odds · Fomin
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 75% · 1.34· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~78 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+111
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+111)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)