18 Jul · 20:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gesiarz
ELO 1523
FormWLWLW
77%Win chancemodel fair 1.30Gesiarz
DM
🇵🇱Dariusz Maszczynski
ELO 1254
FormLWLLL
77%
23%
Fair odds · Gesiarz
Model 77% · 1.30vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 61%Total ~76 pts
3-0
33%
3-1
28%
3-2
16%
2-3
10%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+269
H2H18-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+269)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-10)