18 Jul · 23:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DM
🇵🇱Dariusz Maszczynski
ELO 1254
FormLWLLL
84%Win chancemodel fair 1.19Fomin
AF
🇵🇱Andriej Fomin
ELO 1633
FormWWWLW
16%
84%
🌟Fomin goes over total as favourite 69% (39)
Fair odds · Fomin
Model 84% · 1.19vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 71%Total ~74 pts
0-3
42%
1-3
30%
2-3
13%
3-2
7%
3-1
6%
Elo Gap+379
H2H8-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+379)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-0)