18 Jul · 15:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BW
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1312
FormLWWWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Wnek
SW
🇵🇱Stanislaw Wnek
ELO 1383
FormLWWWW
42%
58%
🌟Wnek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (45)
Fair odds · Wnek
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 53% · 1.89· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+71
H2H27-26
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+71)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (27-26)