18 Jul · 14:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
PG
🇵🇱Patryk Gamrot
ELO 1467
FormLWWLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Witczak
FW
🇵🇱Filip Witczak
ELO 1562
FormLLWLL
40%
60%
Fair odds · Witczak
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~81 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
3-1
16%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+95
H2H15-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+95)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-11)