18 Jul · 15:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JM
🇵🇱Jakub Michalczyk
ELO 1463
FormWWWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Michalczyk
JW
🇵🇱Jakub Wozniak
ELO 1412
FormWLLWW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Michalczyk
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 47% · 2.12· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+51
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+51)