19 Jul · 07:15 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MM
🇵🇱Maksymilian Miastowski
ELO 1704
FormLLLWL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Miastowski
AS
🇵🇱Adrian Spychala
ELO 1552
FormLWLLL
66%
34%
🌟Spychala goes over total as underdog 67% (69)
Fair odds · Miastowski
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~77 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+152
H2H32-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+152)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (32-15)