19 Jul · 06:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
GF
🇵🇱Grzegorz Felkel
ELO 1847
FormWWWWW
79%Win chancemodel fair 1.27Felkel
AS
🇵🇱Adrian Spychala
ELO 1552
FormLWLLL
79%
21%
🌟Spychala goes over total as underdog 67% (69)
Fair odds · Felkel
Model 79% · 1.27vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 62%Total ~75 pts
3-0
34%
3-1
29%
3-2
16%
2-3
9%
1-3
8%
Elo Gap+295
H2H20-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+295)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-0)