18 Jul · 16:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DM
🇵🇱Daniel Morawiec
ELO 1486
FormLWLLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Oracz
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1577
FormWWWWW
40%
60%
🌟Oracz covers set handicap as favourite 68% (38)
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 40% · 2.52· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 43%Total ~78 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+91
H2H15-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+91)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)