18 Jul · 16:40 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
BW
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1322
FormWLWWW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Michalczyk
JM
🇵🇱Jakub Michalczyk
ELO 1454
FormLWWWW
36%
64%
Fair odds · Michalczyk
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~77 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+132
H2H4-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+132)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-2)