19 Jul · 05:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DW
🇵🇱Damian Wederlich
ELO 1808
FormLWWLW
76%Win chancemodel fair 1.32Wederlich
AS
🇵🇱Adrian Spychala
ELO 1552
FormLWLLL
76%
24%
🌟Spychala goes over total as underdog 67% (69)
Fair odds · Wederlich
Model 76% · 1.32vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~75 pts
3-0
33%
3-1
27%
3-2
16%
2-3
10%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+256
H2H7-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+256)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-1)