19 Jul · 05:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ML
🇵🇱Marcin Lach
ELO 1604
FormLWWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Lach
ML
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1539
FormWWLWW
57%
43%
🌟Lach stays under total as favourite 65% (46)
Fair odds · Lach
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+65
H2H2-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+65)