19 Jul · 06:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
ML
🇵🇱Marcin Lach
ELO 1604
FormLWWWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Lach
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jadach
ELO 1516
FormWLLWL
60%
40%
🌟Lach stays under total as favourite 65% (46)
Fair odds · Lach
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~79 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+88
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+88)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)