19 Jul · 07:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DW
🇵🇱Damian Wederlich
ELO 1808
FormLWWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Wederlich
TS
🇵🇱Tibor Spanik
ELO 1753
FormWLLWW
56%
44%
🌟Wederlich rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (64)
Fair odds · Wederlich
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+55
H2H2-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+55)