19 Jul · 06:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AR
🇵🇱Adam Ruszkiewicz
ELO 1397
FormLWLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Buczynski
WB
🇵🇱Witold Buczynski
ELO 1399
FormWLWLW
50%
50%
🌟Ruszkiewicz covers set handicap as underdog 65% (23)
Fair odds · Buczynski
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
20%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.