18 Jul · 17:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
GK
🇵🇱Gracjan Kesik
ELO 1503
FormWWWWW
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Kesik
MP
🇵🇱Milosz Piecowski
ELO 1315
FormLWLLW
70%
30%
🌟Piecowski covers set handicap as underdog 89% (18)
Fair odds · Kesik
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~76 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+188
H2H11-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+188)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-8)