19 Jul · 08:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
GF
🇵🇱Grzegorz Felkel
ELO 1847
FormWWWWW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Felkel
MD
🇵🇱Maciej Domin
ELO 1708
FormWLWLL
65%
35%
🌟Domin goes over total as underdog 73% (45)
Fair odds · Felkel
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 77% · 1.31· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~76 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+139
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+139)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)