19 Jul · 06:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DW
🇵🇱Damian Wederlich
ELO 1820
FormWWLWW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Wederlich
MM
🇵🇱Maksymilian Miastowski
ELO 1704
FormLLLWL
63%
37%
🔥 Underdog lean · Miastowski🌟Wederlich rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (64)
Fair odds · Wederlich
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~77 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+116
H2H6-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+116)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-2)