18 Jul · 17:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1581
FormWWWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Oracz
MB
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1524
FormWWWWL
56%
44%
🌟Oracz covers set handicap as favourite 68% (38)
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 46% · 2.17· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~79 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+57
H2H18-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-16)