18 Jul · 18:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FW
🇵🇱Filip Witczak
ELO 1553
FormWLLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Witczak
DM
🇵🇱Daniel Morawiec
ELO 1482
FormLLWLL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Witczak
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~80 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+71
H2H37-48
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+71)