18 Jul · 18:15 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KM
🇵🇱Kacper Marchlewski
ELO 1330
FormWLWLL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Kesik
GK
🇵🇱Gracjan Kesik
ELO 1503
FormWWWWW
32%
68%
Fair odds · Kesik
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~76 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
12%
3-2
11%
Elo Gap+173
H2H0-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+173)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)