18 Jul · 18:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JM
🇵🇱Jakub Michalczyk
ELO 1453
FormLWLWW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Michalczyk
MP
🇵🇱Milosz Piecowski
ELO 1323
FormWLWLL
64%
36%
🌟Piecowski covers set handicap as underdog 89% (18)
Fair odds · Michalczyk
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~76 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+130
H2H7-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+130)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-2)