18 Jul · 18:50 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
HT
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1727
FormWWWWL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Tkaczyk
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jedrzejowski
ELO 1571
FormWWWLL
67%
33%
🌟Tkaczyk stays under total as favourite 69% (36)
Fair odds · Tkaczyk
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~75 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+156
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+156)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)