18 Jul · 18:40 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RW
🇵🇱Rafal Wojcik
ELO 1384
FormLLLLL
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Baron
MB
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1516
FormLWWWW
36%
64%
🌟Baron goes over total as favourite 69% (45)
Fair odds · Baron
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 46% · 2.18· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~77 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+132
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+132)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)