18 Jul · 19:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
GK
🇵🇱Gracjan Kesik
ELO 1499
FormWLWWW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Kesik
AS
🇵🇱Artur Szoltysek
ELO 1400
FormLLWWW
61%
39%
Fair odds · Kesik
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 52% · 1.93· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~77 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
1-3
15%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+99
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+99)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)