18 Jul · 23:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RS
🇵🇱Robert Szymik
ELO 1487
FormLWLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Szymik
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1433
FormWWLWL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Szymik
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 45% · 2.24· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+54
H2H4-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+54)