19 Jul · 01:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
RW
🇵🇱Roman Wiza
ELO 1334
3-1Final setsWiza won
RA
🇵🇱Rafal Adach
ELO 1410
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Adach at 61%. The actual result was Roman Wiza 3-1 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Rafal Adach favoured — closing 1.57
Total 75.5
71 points played
Set handicap
Rafal Adach −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Rafal Adach −3.5 points
Total sets 4.5
closing 1.36
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Roman Wiza is favoured to win, below means Rafal Adach.
▲ Roman Wizapre 42% → final 100%
Rafal Adach ▼
Biggest swing 74 ptsWiza recovered from 26%70 points · 4 games