19 Jul · 03:55 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
DF
🇵🇱Damian Fira
ELO 1408
1-3Final setsAdach won
RA
🇵🇱Rafal Adach
ELO 1410
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Fira at 55%. The actual result was Rafal Adach 1-3 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Rafal Adach favoured — closing 1.8
Total 77.5
73 points played
Set handicap
Rafal Adach −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Rafal Adach −0.5 points
Total sets 4.5
closing 1.44
Exact score
market priced 1-3 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Damian Fira is favoured to win, below means Rafal Adach.
▲ Damian Firapre 52% → final 3%
Rafal Adach ▼
Biggest swing 52 pts72 points · 4 games