Rafal Idaczyk vs Mariusz Baron — TT Elite Series

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19 Jul · 08:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Rafal Idaczyk

ELO 1426

1-3Final setsBaron won

🇵🇱Mariusz Baron

ELO 1506

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Idaczyk at 50%. The actual result was Mariusz Baron 1-3 — the underdog won.

Rafal Idaczyk — profile →Mariusz Baron — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Baron favoured — closing 1.47

Favourite won

Total 78.5

77 points played

Under

Set handicap

Baron −1.5 sets

Covered

Points handicap

Baron −4.5 points

Covered

Total sets 4.5

closing 1.52

Under

Exact score

market priced 1-3 at close

4.1

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Rafal Idaczyk is favoured to win, below means Mariusz Baron.

▲ Rafal Idaczykpre 46% → final 5%

Mariusz Baron ▼

Biggest swing 49 pts72 points · 4 games