Mateusz Misiak vs Arkadiusz Mugowski — TT Elite Series

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19 Jul · 06:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Mateusz Misiak

ELO 1377

3-1Final setsMisiak won

🇵🇱Arkadiusz Mugowski

ELO 1364

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Misiak at 52%. The actual result was Mateusz Misiak 3-1 — the pick was correct.

Mateusz Misiak — profile →Arkadiusz Mugowski — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Misiak favoured — closing 1.66

Favourite won

Total 79.5

75 points played

Under

Set handicap

Misiak −1.5 sets

Covered

Points handicap

Misiak −2.5 points

Covered

Total sets 4.5

closing 1.54

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-1 at close

4.6

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mateusz Misiak is favoured to win, below means Arkadiusz Mugowski.

▲ Mateusz Misiakpre 49% → final 1%

Arkadiusz Mugowski ▼

Biggest swing 55 ptsMugowski recovered from 44%72 points · 4 games