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DeuceLab
Ratings & Predictions
Live
TT Elite Series predictions
19 Jul · 09:50 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
AMArkadiusz Mugowski
🇵🇱Arkadiusz Mugowski
ELO 1369
1-3Final setsPiotrowski won
TPTadeusz Piotrowski
🇵🇱Tadeusz Piotrowski
ELO 1400
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Piotrowski at 55%. The actual result was Tadeusz Piotrowski 1-3 the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mugowski favoured — closing 1.71
Upset
Total 78.5
75 points played
Under
Set handicap
Mugowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Mugowski −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
closing 1.49
Under
Exact score
market priced 1-3 at close
5.45
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Arkadiusz Mugowski is favoured to win, below means Tadeusz Piotrowski.

Arkadiusz Mugowskipre 48% → final 9%
Tadeusz Piotrowski
Biggest swing 51 ptsPiotrowski recovered from 44%72 points · 4 games