19 Jul · 21:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ZN
🇵🇱Zbigniew Nocun
ELO 1590
FormLWWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Nocun
MG
🇵🇱Michal Guzik
ELO 1517
FormLWWWW
58%
42%
🌟Nocun stays under total as favourite 70% (30)
Fair odds · Nocun
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
18%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+73
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+73)