20 Jul · 01:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1573
FormLWLWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Kapik
KK
🇵🇱Krzysztof Kapik
ELO 1664
FormWWLWW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Kapik
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 43%Total ~79 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+91
H2H77-37
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+91)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (77-37)