Adrian Eliasz vs Arkadiusz Mugowski — TT Elite Series

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19 Jul · 11:50 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Adrian Eliasz

ELO 1280

1-3Final setsMugowski won

🇵🇱Arkadiusz Mugowski

ELO 1369

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Mugowski at 55%. The actual result was Arkadiusz Mugowski 1-3 — the pick was correct.

Adrian Eliasz — profile →Arkadiusz Mugowski — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Adrian Eliasz favoured — closing 1.78

Upset

Total 80.5

75 points played

Under

Set handicap

Adrian Eliasz −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Adrian Eliasz −1.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

closing 1.59

Under

Exact score

market priced 1-3 at close

5.45

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Adrian Eliasz is favoured to win, below means Arkadiusz Mugowski.

▲ Adrian Eliaszpre 41% → final 99%

Arkadiusz Mugowski ▼

Biggest swing 72 ptsEliasz recovered from 27%61 points · 3 games