20 Jul · 05:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RI
🇵🇱Rafal Idaczyk
ELO 1426
FormLLWWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Vincenec
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1512
FormWWWWW
41%
59%
🌟Vincenec goes over total as favourite 71% (14)
Fair odds · Vincenec
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 43% · 2.31· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+86
H2H5-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+86)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)