Jakub Michalczyk vs Maciej Kolek — TT Elite Series

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19 Jul · 13:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Jakub Michalczyk

ELO 1404

2-3Final setsKolek won

🇵🇱Maciej Kolek

ELO 1596

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kolek at 73%. The actual result was Maciej Kolek 2-3 — the pick was correct.

Jakub Michalczyk — profile →Maciej Kolek — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Maciej Kolek favoured — closing 1.33

Favourite won

Total 77.5

100 points played

Over

Set handicap

Maciej Kolek −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Maciej Kolek −6.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

closing 2.25

Over

Exact score

market priced 2-3 at close

3.6

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jakub Michalczyk is favoured to win, below means Maciej Kolek.

▲ Jakub Michalczykpre 22% → final 18%

Maciej Kolek ▼

Biggest swing 60 ptsKolek recovered from 32%72 points · 5 games