20 Jul · 05:50 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PA
🇵🇱Pawel Adamus
ELO 1399
FormWLWLW
76%Win chancemodel fair 1.32Pruszkowski
JP
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1663
FormWWWWL
24%
76%
🌟Adamus covers set handicap as underdog 62% (37)
Fair odds · Pruszkowski
Model 76% · 1.32vsMarket 58% · 1.72· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~77 pts
0-3
33%
1-3
28%
2-3
16%
3-2
10%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+264
H2H6-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+264)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-5)