20 Jul · 04:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PC
🇵🇱Pawel Chojnacki
ELO 1371
FormWLLLL
73%Win chancemodel fair 1.37Nocun
ZN
🇵🇱Zbigniew Nocun
ELO 1597
FormWWWLW
27%
73%
🌟Nocun stays under total as favourite 70% (30)
Fair odds · Nocun
Model 73% · 1.37vsMarket 69% · 1.44· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~75 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
27%
2-3
15%
3-2
11%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+226
H2H41-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+226)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (41-14)