20 Jul · 12:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JP
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1652
FormWLWWW
80%Win chancemodel fair 1.25Pruszkowski
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1341
FormLLLWW
80%
20%
🌟Kaczmarek covers set handicap as underdog 78% (18)
Fair odds · Pruszkowski
Model 80% · 1.25vsMarket 73% · 1.38· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 63%Total ~77 pts
3-0
34%
3-1
29%
3-2
17%
2-3
8%
1-3
7%
Elo Gap+311
H2H26-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+311)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-7)