20 Jul · 11:50 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PA
🇵🇱Pawel Adamus
ELO 1413
FormLWWWL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Hetnar
KH
🇵🇱Krzysztof Hetnar
ELO 1572
FormWLWWL
33%
67%
🔥 Underdog lean · Adamus🌟Hetnar goes over total as favourite 73% (22)
Fair odds · Hetnar
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~78 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+159
H2H9-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+159)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-7)