20 Jul · 09:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RI
🇵🇱Rafal Idaczyk
ELO 1446
FormWWWLL
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Pruszkowski
JP
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1652
FormWLWWW
29%
71%
🌟Idaczyk stays under total as underdog 65% (20)
Fair odds · Pruszkowski
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 70% · 1.43· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~75 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+206
H2H13-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+206)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-5)