20 Jul · 11:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1341
FormLLLWW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Vincenec
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1504
FormLLWWW
33%
67%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kaczmarek🌟Kaczmarek covers set handicap as underdog 78% (18)
Fair odds · Vincenec
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 59% · 1.68· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~78 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+163
H2H12-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+163)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-9)