20 Jul · 12:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SS
🇵🇱Szymon Sporek
ELO 1682
FormLLLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Wloczko
KW
🇵🇱Krzysztof Wloczko
ELO 1712
FormWWLWL
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sporek🌟Sporek goes over total as underdog 70% (46)
Fair odds · Wloczko
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 57% · 1.74· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
2-3
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+30
H2H7-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.