20 Jul · 14:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
SS
🇵🇱Szymon Sporek
ELO 1682
FormLLLLW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Kosowski
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kosowski
ELO 1802
FormWLLLL
37%
63%
🌟Sporek goes over total as underdog 70% (46)
Fair odds · Kosowski
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 79% · 1.27· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~76 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
15%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+120
H2H5-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+120)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-3)